Gene Menez, who correctly predicted National Treasure to win last year's Run for the Black-Eyed Susans, has released his picks and bets for the 149th Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course. Jockey Tyler Gaffalione, who debuted at the Preakness Stakes in 2019 with a victory on War of Will, seeks his second win in the race after finishing eighth with Thousand Words in 2020 and Happy Jack in 2022. Gaffalione will ride Tuscan Gold, currently 9-2 in the odds, against the 8-5 favorite Mystik Dan on Saturday. Other top contenders include Catching Freedom (7-2) and Imagination (3-1).
The Preakness Stakes, the second leg of the Triple Crown, is scheduled for 7:01 p.m. ET. With a strong field set to compete, it's crucial to consider the insights of SportsLine writer Gene Menez. As a seasoned reporter and editor with Sports Illustrated, Menez has a proven track record in horse racing predictions, correctly forecasting Super Saver's 2010 Kentucky Derby win and achieving notable betting successes in subsequent years. Last year, he accurately called multiple race winners and the trifecta in the Jenny Wiley Stakes. Visit SportsLine for his expert picks and best bets for the 2024 Preakness Stakes.
Top 2024 Preakness Stakes Predictions
One surprise from Gene Menez is his decision to completely dismiss Mystik Dan, despite the horse being the Kentucky Derby winner and the 2024 Preakness favorite. Menez believes several horses can challenge Mystik Dan, including Just Steel. Trained by Hall-of-Famer D. Wayne Lukas, Just Steel finished 17th in the Kentucky Derby but was second in his three prior starts, twice finishing ahead of Mystik Dan.
A concern for Mystik Dan is the short rest period. The only other time the colt had just two weeks between races was last November when he won his first career race at Churchill Downs but then finished a distant fifth at the same track 13 days later. "To me, this is a red flag," Menez told SportsLine, indicating he will not include Mystik Dan in his wagers. You can view all of Menez's 2024 Preakness Stakes bets here.
How to Make 2024 Preakness Stakes Picks
Additionally, Menez's top pick is a horse he believes is "set up to run a career-best race." He is also high on a double-digit longshot expected to "come running late." He recommends including these horses in your wagers.
So, who wins the 149th Preakness Stakes? Which double-digit longshot has a big chance, and how has Menez constructed his bets? Visit SportsLine to see Menez's picks for the Preakness Stakes, from the expert who nailed last year's winner, and find out.
2024 Preakness Stakes odds, contenders, post positions
| Prg # | Horse | Odds | Projection |
| 1 | Mugatu | 20-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 2 | Uncle Heavy | 20-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 3 | Catching Freedom | 7-2 | SEE PICKS |
| 4 | Muth | SCR | SEE PICKS |
| 5 | Mystik Dan | 8-5 | SEE PICKS |
| 6 | Seize the Grey | 12-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 7 | Just Steel | 12-1 | SEE PICKS |
| 8 | Tuscan Gold | 9-2 | SEE PICKS |
| 9 | Imagination | 3-1 | SEE PICKS |
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